They were just guessing

According to the President, having all the information on the ground and making a detailed study of the probable outcomes is called guessing.

Bush, in a subsequent meeting with Allawi, all but dismissed a CIA report leaked last week that offered a gloomy outlook in Iraq with the worst scenario a civil war.

"The CIA laid out several scenarios. It said that life could be lousy, life could be OK, life could be better. And they were just guessing as to what the conditions might be like," he said. "The Iraq citizens are defying the pessimistic predictions."

Was the CIA "guessing" when they outlined where the WMD were in Iraq?... oh yeah, I suppose they were. Talk about picking and choosing. The 2002 and 2003 NIE was solid, but this year's version is simply "guessing."