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As featured on p. 218 of "Bloggers on the Bus," under the name "a MyDD blogger."

Monday, November 01, 2004

Good Omens

So the Packers won, which as we know is a perfect predictor that Bush will lose. But there are a few more, shall we say, scientific omens out there.

Today on Good Morning America, ABC's George Stephanopoulos said that both campaigns honestly believe they are going to win, based on their "very different" models of who is going to turn out. "Both of them have an eerie confidence," Stephanopoulos. "Democrats say 110, 115, 120 million are going to vote, and these new voters are going to carry them to victory. Republicans say no way: We know who are base is. They're going to come out." I think all signs point to record turnout. The numbers that have already voted are higher than ever, 1 in 6 registered voters (according to NPR). And the mobilization efforts on both sides is insane. I was at a call center in LA this weekend, calling into Nevada. We made 80,000 calls to (heavily Democratic) Clark County in two days. Almost every Democrat I talked to said they had either already voted, or were definitely getting out to the polls.

Then there's America's favorite conservative junkie, Rush Limbaugh, going ballistic on the air this morning. Apparently, he got wind of the latest Faux News poll, showing Kerry up by 2 among registered voters, which I believe is an 8-point swing to Kerry in the last week. He freaked out. Choicest quotes? "I can't believe how stupid americans are," and "Bush should be leading by 30 points." Now, let's not forget that Rush is an unpaid advisor to the Bush campaign, so he probably knows more of what's really going on than the average man on the street. Although, granted, he probably also has more Oxycontin in him than the average man on the street.

Then, the top story on instapundit is: OSAMA BIN LOSIN'. Which laments that the Osama story didn't have sticking power (presumably for the GOP). Turns out it had no net effect in polling. Apparently the rest of the hard-right sites (NRO's The Corner, the Free Republic) are awash in lamentations as well.

We're gonna win, and they know it.

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