Too Close To Call

That is not the words Sen. Clinton wanted to see 30 minutes after the polls closed. Still no hard numbers, but the exit poll information is kind of interesting. Bowers:

Polls have closed. The first exit poll can be found here. Quick multiplication of the gender crosstabs produces Clinton 52%--48% Obama. The first exits are usually adjusted, however. I can already see a problem where the exits claim that Philadelphia and its suburbs where only 29% of the electorate. Yeah, right.

The Philly metro region was expected to be about 40-45%. And Obama took the Philly suburbs, according to that same exit poll, by 62%-38% (and took the city by 69%-31%). Wow. This could be the nailbiter that I never thought we'd see in Pennsylvania.

Could the vaunted D-Day family straw poll (and I checked on all of them, they were practically all for Clinton) be somehow off?

...now we're moving into the "too early to call" territory, which means that there's a definitive lead for Clinton. Which we all knew, but Obama is doing better than expected. I don't think we'll see double digits tonight.

And the most key exit poll stat I noted was that 30% or so of the Clinton supporters who voted today thought that Obama would be the nominee. The voters are starting to get resigned to it. That's fairly key.

(the other thing is that the Philly metro area is fully 50% of the delegates, which means that the delegate counts could end up close to even. Hm.

...MSNBC just called it for Clinton with 3% of the vote in. That changed in a hurry. Now we'll have to see what the margin is. I'm headed to LA Drinking Liberally.

...Ambinder:

As polls close, here is one way to think about the margin of victory -- if Hillary Clinton wins.

She has no money.

More important than anything she'll do over the next few days, Clinton will try to use tonight's results to raise money through the net. (Notice the banner behind the stage at her victory party. It says HillaryClinton.com for a reason.)

We cannot have a nominee who is broke between now and August. For Hillary Clinton to win she'll have to spend every cent running against Obama. That means not one thin dime spent against McCain until Labor Day. That's unacceptable.

Let's see what the numbers are. But it's telling that Terry McAuliffe mentioned HillaryClinton.com in the first paragraph with MSNBC. They don't have a penny.